St. Barbara’s Acquisition Provide for Atlantic Gold Highlights ‘Valuation Hole’

The valuation hole between Australian and Canadian producers, highlighted by a current takeover provide, is reviewed in a BMO Capital Markets report.

In a Could 15 analysis be aware, BMO Capital Markets analysts Brian Quast and Andrew Kaip wrote that St. Barbara Ltd.’s (SBM:ASX) current provide to accumulate Atlantic Gold Corp. (AGB:TSX.V) exemplifies that “the valuation hole between Australian and Canadian producers creates an surroundings ripe for consolidation.” He added that “we view the consolidation of Australian and Canadian midtier miners as being inevitable.”

The analysts identified that as we speak’s valuations favor Australian gold producers, that are buying and selling at a premium to Canadian producers on a worth to web current worth foundation and a worth to money move per share foundation. As such, the Australian corporations are properly positioned to make accretive acquisitions of Canadian property. Conversely, Canadian producers have been struggling just lately.

An ideal instance of this theme taking part in out, the analysts indicated, is St. Barbara’s bid on Could 14 for Atlantic Gold at a 41% premium to that day’s closing worth. “The deal values Atlantic Gold at 1.3x web current worth 5% at spot, above peer valuations at zero.7x,” Quast wrote. The premium is increased than that in current takeover transactions of junior gold producers, he added, attributable to Atlantic Gold’s Touquoy being a low value, excessive margin gold mine with development potential.

The BMO analysts gave a shortlist of corporations that might seize on the present market alternative. The Australian corporations, Evolution Mining, Northern Star, Kirkland Lake and Saracen Mineral Holdings, could possibly be potential acquirers.

Potential Canadian targets embrace New Gold, Pretium Sources, TMAC Sources and Wesdome Gold Mines.

“From our evaluation, we see that, total, Australian gold producers have a number of choices to broaden in Canada in transactions that may be accretive to shareholders on the premise of web asset worth and/or money move,” the analysts concluded.



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Disclosures from BMO Capital Markets, Australia-Canada Gold M&A: Crossing the Pacific through Atlantic, Could 15, 2019


Analyst’s Certification
We, Andrew Kaip and Brian Quast, hereby certify that the views expressed on this report precisely mirror our private views in regards to the
topic securities or issuers. We additionally certify that no a part of our compensation was, is, or will probably be, immediately or not directly, associated to the precise suggestions or views expressed on this report.

Analysts who ready this report are compensated primarily based upon (amongst different components) the general profitability of BMO Capital Markets and their associates, which incorporates the general profitability of funding banking companies. Compensation for analysis relies on effectiveness in producing new concepts and in communication of concepts to purchasers, efficiency of suggestions, accuracy of earnings estimates, and repair to purchasers.

Analysts employed by BMO Nesbitt Burns Inc. and/or BMO Capital Markets Restricted usually are not registered as analysis analysts with FINRA. These analysts will not be related individuals of BMO Capital Markets Corp. and due to this fact will not be topic to the FINRA Rule 2241 restrictions on communications with a topic firm, public appearances and buying and selling securities held by a analysis analyst account.

Firm Particular Disclosures
For Necessary Disclosures on the shares mentioned on this report, please click on right here.

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